Utah #9 Nationally for Foreclosures

August 14, 2008
So the big news is that Utah has climbed up to ninth nationally in foreclosures according to Realty Trac.com. The interesting thing is that even though it ranks ninth for states, the foreclosure filings per house was still below the national average. In Utah 1 out of every 472 homes had a foreclosure filing. The national average for July was 1 out of every 464 households.

The way Realty Trac keeps trac of foreclosure filings is very interesting. It counts notices of default, notices of trustee sales, and new bank owned homes as “foreclosures.” With this method, the same property could be counted as a “foreclosure” three different months. Foreclosure isn’t an event, but is a process. Generally the Notice of Default is given after three or four months of missed payments, the Notice of Trustees Sale is at about month 8, and if the property isn’t purchased the foreclosure auction, becomes a REO home. Most properties that get a notice of default don’t actually Foreclose. Some homeowners have multiple notices of default as they resolve the preforeclosure before it actually happens.

The RealtyTrac numbers show that In July, Utah had 892 Notices of Default filed and 687 Trustees Sales scheduled. There were also 332 new REO homes. The total number of these filings was up 27% compared to June, and up 294% from last July when foreclosures in Utah were among the lowest in the nation.

In my opinion, foreclosures will continue to rise in Utah. There were too many people who bought homes that they can’t afford because they were convinced that they would continue to appreciate in double digits. Now that home values are falling, these owners have no equity and can’t sell their home in the soft market.  Nationally foreclosures are still on the rise, and the housing boom in many of these areas happened years ago. Hang on for a ride as Utah foreclosures will likely continue to increase.

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Utah Foreclosures More Than Double in Q2

July 26, 2008


RealtyTrac

According to Realty Trac, Foreclosures in Utah more than doubled during the second quarter. Last year at this time Utah had the lowest rate of foreclosure. During the second quarter of this year Utah ranked 14th nationally for foreclosure filings. Even though it ranks 14th as a state, the actual number of foreclosure filings is substantially below the national average. Utah had a foreclosure filing for 1 in every 226 households vs. the national average of 1 in every 171 households.

The foreclosures filings in Utah has largely increased because home values have gone down this year. People with financial difficulties last year almost always had equity in their homes, because of the rapid appreciation of real estate values. They were able to sell their homes or postpone the foreclosure by refinancing when they were no longer able to make payments. Now the majority of people facing foreclosure don’t have enough equity to pay the usual selling costs, and homes just aren’t selling very fast right now.

St. George had the worst rate of foreclosures in Utah, 1 in every 86 households. This isn’t a big surprise as its real estate market jumped the same time the Las Vegas Real Estate market did. Currently 1 in every 35 Las Vegas Homes had a foreclosure filing. The Provo/Orem Metro beat the national average, and lead northern Utah with foreclosure filings in 1 out of every 163 Utah County Homes.

For more information on National Q2 foreclosure stats visit Realty Trac Foreclosure Report


Salt Lake County Home Sales Officially Down

July 23, 2008

Salt Lake County Home Sales Graph

Salt Lake County Home Sales Graph

The Salt Lake Tribune reported today that home sales in Salt Lake County are officially down 28% for the second quarter and home prices are down 2%.

The funny thing about it is that the tax assesors are claiming that prices in Salt Lake County are actually up 3%. Apparently the government doesn’t have a problem raising home values so they can collect more property taxes. There is also an article in the Deseret news about this and they act as if prices are actually up because the tax assesors said so. With this much inventory on the market, median prices won’t really be rising any time soon.

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Utah MLS listings are is 32% High

July 1, 2008

A lot of commenters on my blog think that home prices in Utah will come down in the double digits. While prices may come down slightly in some areas, the big issue is that there are too many high end and overpriced homes. The average Utah MLS listing is about 32% higher than the average home selling price. Even the current median price of listed homes is 23% higher than the median price of sold homes during the second quarter of 2008. In the major Northern Utah Counties: Salt Lake, Utah, Davis, Weber, Cache and Tooele County, the average price of a home sold during the second quarter of 2008 was $248,786. The current average list price of Utah homes on the MLS in these counties is $364,791.

These statistics are unofficial, but will be really close when the actual numbers come out in the next few weeks.


Home Sales Up in Salt Lake County

June 9, 2008

Up is a relative word though. I thought that an optimistice headline might be a nice change for all the negative housing press. May was the top month for home sales in Salt Lake County for 2008 thus far, but my unofficial home sales statistics show that it was still about 36% less than home sales in 2007 and 45% less than May home sales in ‘06.

The good news for Salt Lake County home sales stats is that May home prices remained stable. Infact, they actually rose about a percentage from an average 2007 price of $273,929 to $277,239.

Current inventory shows 6800 active single family MLS listings, and 1411 SLC Condos for sale. These numbers are substantially down from the number of active listings just three months ago. With Mays’ rate of home sales there is about 8 months of inventory on the market. These home sales figures include real estate in: Bluffdale Real Estate, Cottonwood Heights Real estate, Draper Real Estate, Herriman Real Estate, Holladay Real Estate, Kearns Real Estate, Magna Real Estate, Midvale Real Estate, Murray Real Estate, Riverton Real Estate, SLC Real Estate, Sandy Real Estate, South Jordan Real Estate, South Salt Lake Real Estate, Taylorsville Real Estate, West Jordan Real Estate, and West Valley City Real Estate.


May Real Estate Stats for Utah County

June 6, 2008

Despite the fact that Utah County had price appreciation for the first quarter of 2008, the housing market is looking a little scary in the Provo/Orem metro. Unofficial numbers for May show that there were only 321 single family homes sold in Utah County.  Last year there were 484 homes sold in the same month. Home sales were down nearly 33%. In addition, the average price of sold homes was down 9% over the 2007 numbers.  

There are currently 4,561 active Provo Utah area houses for sale. The average price of these single family listings is $405,167, and the median price is nearly $100,000 less than that at $309,000.  These numbers are substantially more than the average May sold price of $266,573 and median sold price at $232,000. The average Utah County house on the market has been listed for 94 days.

The condo/townhouse market in Utah County seems to be pretty healthy. There are also 183 active condo listings in Utah County. The average asking price of condominiums is $178,558. In May there were about 80 condos sold at an average sold price of about $170,000. With most homes priced to high for the average Utah County buyer, condos become the affordable alternative.

My advise is that if you don’t need to sell your home, take it off your market. If you do, the only way you’ll be able to sell is if it is priced right, (right meaning one of the best priced of comparable home listings.) To buyers, it doesn’t matter what the house appraised at a year ago. What matters is that it is the best deal for them.

If you are looking to buy real estate in Utah county, there are plenty of homes on the market. Take your time, and don’t feel bad about making low offers.

Utah County Home Sales Numbers includes: Homes for Sale in Alpine, American Fork, Eagle Mountain, Highland, Lehi, Lindon, Mapleton, Orem, Payson, Pleasant Grove, Provo, Salem, Santaquin, Saratoga SpringsSpringville, Spanish Fork, and Woodland Hills Utah.


Utah 10 Year Home Appreciation

May 31, 2008

Cache County 10 Year price Appreciation GraphWeber County Utah Real Estate Appreciation GraphDavis County Utah Real Estate Appreciation

Utah County Home Appreciation

 

Salt Lake County Real Estate Sold Values compared to standard 5%.

What is a healthy appreciation rate for real estate? It has to be more than the rate of inflation because more real estate cannot be created. It becomes more and more scarce as the population grows, and the population of Utah is growing. To make math simple, I picked 5% as an easy to figure out appreciation rate and ran a few numbers comparing the actual real estate appreciation rate to the 5% amount for the past 10 years for the major Utah Counties.

If 5% appreciation is an accurate and healthy rate for real estate appreciation, then compared to the 1998 average home value, Salt Lake and Utah Counties are overvalued while Davis County is almost right on, and Cache and Weber County’s real estate is undervalued.

 


New Listings vs Sold Homes for Logan Utah

May 19, 2008

Is the relationship between the number of new listings, and the quantity of homes being sold at an unhealthy balance where prices will drop in Logan Utah?

Currently there are more MLS listings than ever in Logan Utah, but the Logan real estate market trends appear to be somewhat normal for the season. The Cache County real estate market is nowhere near the out of whack balance experienced in protions of Salt Lake and Utah County.

The number of new listings is slightly above normal, and the number of sold homes is a little less than normal for the spring months.

 

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Davis County Home Sale Numbers for April

May 13, 2008

Home sales continue to be slow in Davis County Utah. For April of 2008, only 277 single family homes were reported sold on the Wasatch Front MLS.  This is almost 100 less homes sold than April of last year, down about 25%. One interesting statistic is that most of the homes that were sold during April were only on the market for a short period of time. 38% of the houses sold were listed for less than thirty days, and nearly 60% of the homes sold in April were on the market for less than two months. This shows that many of the new listings are pricing there homes right for today’s market and not for the booming real estate market of last year. The moderate homes are still selling at a relatively healthy pace.

The average price of Homes Sold in Davis County during April was $250,932. This is slightly down from 2007’s April numbers at $254,585.

Currently the average list price of homes on the market is $366,62, and the median price, is even more than this average price at $294,900. Here is a breakdown of the average list price of the major Davis County Cities:


April Home Sales in Salt Lake

May 9, 2008

Unofficial Home Sales numbers from the WFRMLS show that Salt Lake County had 784 single family homes sold in April 2008. The average sold price of these properties was $287,949.

In comparison to 2007, home prices remained stable. Average Salt Lake home sales price in ‘07 was $287,797. The number of homes sold, not surprisingly, was down almost 29%. This decline in homes sold is actually an improvement over Salt Lake first quarter results.

Currently, Salt Lake County has 6,637 single family homes listed for sale. The median price of these MLS listings is $329,000 and the average price is $441,900, 35% higher than Aprils average sold price.

Number of Active Listings by City in Salt Lake County: